I don’t like opinion polls…I don’t like “bad ones” and I don’t like “good ones”.
From five thousand miles Norn Iron is very distant. Especially when it is 7pm and temperatures soared to 81 degrees.
But I hear there is an opinion poll out which is showing a majority of North Korean proportions rejecting a United Ireland. I hate to rain on Sluggers parade…but it seems to me that nobody is actually offering a united Ireland in the short term.
So it’s a fairly irrelevant poll. It may however be pointed out that the vast numbers of Catholics claimed to be against a united Ireland are not actually voting for unionist parties…or indeed the “agnostic” (I know ….I’m laughing myself) Alliance Party. Or put in another way, the Alliance Party are under-performing.
All of this must be extremely uncomfortable for Alliance Party apologists in the media and on some websites.
They can’t really take much comforts in the opinion poll on the fantasy state of the parties. Meaningless figures. But enough there to surely s change the narrative even of the most dedicated Alliance apologist.
I don’t give a tinkers curse for the numbers. But from a purely SDLP members perspective…..nothing has changed. Despite the fantasy 18.6% being a significant fantasy improvement. Certainly since the debacle of Assembly 2011, the ship has been steadied…and certainly since summer 2012, SDLP will be satisfied at an improvement.
I have been dismissive of reports of SDLPs terminal decline. So it’s not for me to feel validated by the poll. Rather it is for those who believed earlier polls to accept this one. All I claim is that SDLP are “in the game”….no more, no less than I have previously claimed.
And that’s bad news for Alliance…who can with DUP nibble at UUP votes . But those voters are unionist and Alliance need to be gaining votes from BOTH UUP and SDLP to be credible as a middle ground pàrty. All they are doing is gaining more liberal unionist votes and becoming increasingly dependant on that electorate makes the Alliance Party even more toxic to nationalists.