You have probably noticed that for a man who couldn’t give a tinkers curse for opinion polls, I spend a lot of time thinking about them. Thanks to Hobo for the figures and to BangorDub for the link to the News Letter piece by Sam McBride….we can see that yet again an opinion poll is much ado about nothing.
Discussion Boards talk about game changers. But if we apply Sam McBrides coping that some parties are under-stated in polls while others are over-stated then we can see again…yet again …that the landscape has not changed.
With the REAL figures and FANTASY figures in brackets, what exactly can we say about a potential trend.
DUP 30.0…..(25.1 but “understated”???)….not good news for them but not devastating.
Sinn Fein 27….(21.7 but “understated”????…..the same.
SDLP 14.2 ……(18.6 but “overstated??????……..encouraging, slide certainly stopped and good for morale.
UUP 13.2…..(13.2 but overstated?????’). Not good news except in the sense that it is not a melt down.
Alliance 7.7 …(10.2 but overstated ?????) encouraging but no breakthru on the basis of the back of the attacks on them. Sympathy has its limits.
So there is no Game Changer……Certainly not in the Flegs Dispute.