A constituency where DUP votes are weighed, rather than counted. An easy win but the collapse of the UUP vote (Mike Nesbitt fought Strangford for UUP-Tories) collapsed and votes shed to UKIP, Alliance and Conservatives.
In 2016, DUP are likely to retain three seats in tbe Assembly. Alliance will retain their seat. UUP will retain their seat.
The sixth seat…the combination of UKIP (David McNarry holds a seat here), TUV and Tory, should be enough to hold off SDLP challenge. Joe Boyle did well here. But nationalists under-perform, in part because the nationalists are spread thinly in pockets around the constituency.