DUP: Trevor Clarke. Pamela Cameron. Paul Girvan.
UUP: Adrian Cochrane Watson. Paul Michael. Stephen Aiken.
UKIP: Robert Hill.
TUV: Richard Cairns.
Alliance: David Ford.
SDLP: Roisin Lynch.
Sinn Féin: Declan Kearney.
Green: Helen Farley.
Conservative: Mark Young.
Independent: David McMaster.
Outgoing MLAs…three DUP, one UUP, one Alliance. SInn Féin held the sixth seat thru Mitchel McLaughlin who has retired.
Whether the balance of power will chance because Danny Kinahan (UUP) won the Westminster seat last year remains to be seen. DUP, Alliance, SDLP and Sinn Féin all lost percentage points in 2015.
I dont expect DUP to fully recover. Nor do I expect UUP to fully take advantage of Kinahan’s victory.
Yet South Antrim is a constituency where all Parties seem to be tantalisingly short of where they need to be.
Only two safe quotas for DUP and one each for UUP and Sinn Féin.
The other two seats…I think a three-way fight….DUP, Alliance (I am not entirely convinced that David Ford is safe) and SDLP.
Roisin Lynch is a good candidate but if she is to get over the line, she will need a lot of first preference votes…there will be few transfers available.
Prediction: DUP 2, UUP 1, Sinn Féin 1, Alliance 1, …..and hopefully SDLP 1.